The above trend shows how UConn might lose on Monday night, but their history differs from most. 1985: Georgetown Hoyas (-9) lost to Villanova Wildcats (66-64).1988: Oklahoma Sooners (-8) lost to Kansas Jayhawks (83-79).1996: Kentucky Wildcats (-14) defeated Syracuse Orange (76-67).2002: Maryland Terrapins (-7.5) defeated Indiana Hoosiers (64-52).2009: North Carolina Tar Heels (-7.5) defeated Michigan State Spartans (89-72).2010: Duke Blue Devils (-7), defeated Butler Bulldogs (61-59).Below is a list of all the teams favored by seven-plus points in the title game since 1985, along with the result. In essence, teams in this situation have lost nearly half the time and rarely covered the spread. Those teams have gone a staggering 2-5 ATS (28.6%) and 4-3 SU (57.1%). Since 1985, there have been seven teams favored by seven-plus points in the national championship game.
While this might highlight how dominant the Huskies have been, the historical data says it might be worth wagering on San Diego State.
Favorites of seven-plus points have not fared well in the national title gameĪs mentioned above, UConn comes into the game as a big betting favorite.
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